Based on our computer model, the Detroit Lions will defeat the Washington Commanders when they meet at Ford Field on Saturday, Jan. 18 (at 8 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available below.

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The Lions have the seventh-ranked defense this year (20.1 points allowed per game), and they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking best with 33.2 points per game. The Commanders’ offense has been excelling, compiling 28.5 points per contest (fifth-best) this season. On defense, they rank 18th by giving up 23 points per game.

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Commanders vs. Lions Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Commanders have a 20.0% chance to win.
• Washington won 10 games against the spread in the regular season, failing to cover seven times, and is 1-0-0 in the playoffs.
• Washington and its opponent combined to hit the over 11 out of 17 times in the regular season, and zero of one in the postseason.
• Commanders games averaged 45.9 total points in the regular season, 9.6 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Lions Betting Info

• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Lions an 84.6% chance to win.
• Detroit is 12-5-0 ATS this season.
• The Lions have covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 9.5-point favorites.
• In Detroit’s 17 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total nine times.
• The over/under for this game is 55.5 points, 5.1 more than the average point total for Lions games this season (playoffs included).

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Commanders vs. Lions 2024 Scoring Insights

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