According to our computer model, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will defeat the Washington Commanders when they play at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, Jan. 12 (at 8 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.

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The Buccaneers have the 18th-ranked defense this year (341.8 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective offensively, ranking third-best with 399.5 yards per game. In terms of total offense, the Commanders rank seventh in the NFL (369.6 total yards per game) and 13th defensively (326.9 total yards allowed per game).

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Commanders have a 42.6% chance to win.
• Washington has compiled a 10-7-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Commanders have been an underdog by 3 points or more six times this year, and covered the spread in three of those contests.
• Washington and its opponent have combined to hit the over 11 out of 17 times this year.
• Games involving the Commanders this year have averaged 45.9 points per game, a 4.6-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Buccaneers a 61.5% chance to win.
• Tampa Bay has covered the spread 10 times in 17 games this season.
• The Buccaneers have an ATS record of 5-4 when playing as at least 3-point favorites this season.
• A total of 12 out of 17 Tampa Bay games this season have hit the over.
• Buccaneers games this season have posted an average total of 45.5, which is five points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

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