Based on our computer model, the Washington Commanders will defeat the Dallas Cowboys when they meet at AT&T Stadium on Sunday, Jan. 5 (at 1 p.m. ET). We have a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.

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The Commanders rank ninth in total defense this season (323.8 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been thriving on the offensive side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 375.9 total yards per game. The Cowboys rank 19th in total yards per game (324.3), but they’ve been worse on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-worst in the NFL with 360.6 total yards surrendered per contest.

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Commanders vs. Cowboys Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Commanders have an implied win probability of 75.0%.
• Washington has won 10 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover six times.
• The Commanders have been favored by 6.5 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
• Washington and its opponent have combined to hit the over 11 out of 16 times this season.
• Commanders games average 46.1 total points per game this season, 2.1 more than the over/under for this matchup.

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Cowboys Betting Info

• The Cowboys have a 29.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Dallas has compiled a 6-10-0 ATS record so far this season.
• The Cowboys have covered the spread once when an underdog by 6.5 points or more this year (in four opportunities).
• So far this year, 11 of Dallas’ 16 games with a set number have gone over the point total.
• This season, Cowboys games have resulted in an average scoring total of 45.3, which is 1.3 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Commanders vs. Cowboys 2024 Scoring Insights

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