How to Pick the Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – December 28

Published 12:39 am Saturday, December 28, 2024

The matchup between the Washington Capitals and the Toronto Maple Leafs at 7:00 PM ET on Saturday has lots of betting options to consider. With that in mind, here’s an in-depth look at our best bets, along with picks and predictions.

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Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 6.1 goals)

  • Washington and its opponent have combined to outscore Saturday’s over/under (6 goals) 19 times this season.
  • A total of 21 of Toronto’s games have ended with more than 6 goals this season.
  • These two teams combine for 6.8 goals per game, 0.8200000000000003 more than the total for this contest.
  • The 5.4 goals per game these two teams allow are 0.6 less than the total set for this contest.

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Moneyline Pick

Capitals Moneyline: -123

  • In the 14 times this season the Capitals have been a moneyline favorite, they have finished 10-4 in those games.
  • Washington is 9-4 (victorious in 69.2% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -123 or shorter.
  • The Capitals’ implied moneyline win probability is 55.2% in this game.

Maple Leafs Moneyline: +103

  • In Toronto’s eight games as the underdog on the moneyline this season, it has six wins.
  • The Maple Leafs have five victories in games with moneyline odds of +103 or longer (in seven chances).
  • Toronto’s moneyline gives it an implied probability of 49.3% to win this game.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Toronto 4, Washington 3

Capitals Points Leaders

  • Dylan Strome has been imperative to Washington’s offense this season, recording 38 points in 34 games.
  • Connor McMichael is another of Washington’s important contributors currently with 29 total points (16 goals and 13 assists) to his name.
  • On 63 shots (for 14 goals) and 15 assists, Aliaksei Protas has recorded 29 points this season.
  • As Washington’s top goalie, Logan Thompson has recorded 13 wins and 2 losses this season while giving up 41 goals with 433 saves.

Maple Leafs Points Leaders

  • Mitchell Marner has scored 13 goals (0.4 per game) and collected 36 assists (one per game), taking 2.6 shots per game and shooting 14.1%. That makes him among the leaders for Toronto with 49 total points (1.4 per game).
  • Toronto’s William Nylander has racked up 41 total points (1.1 per game), with 23 goals and 18 assists.
  • Toronto’s John Tavares has 36 points (17 goals, 19 assists) this season.
  • Toronto’s Anthony Stolarz is 9-5-2 this season, amassing 445 saves and permitting 35 goals (2.2 goals against average) with a .927 save percentage (third-best in the league).

Capitals’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
12/20/2024 Hurricanes W 3-1 Home +133
12/22/2024 Kings W 3-1 Home -160
12/23/2024 Bruins L 4-1 Away +118
12/28/2024 Maple Leafs Away -123
12/29/2024 Red Wings Away
12/31/2024 Bruins Home
1/2/2025 Wild Home

Maple Leafs’ Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
12/21/2024 Islanders L 6-3 Home -138
12/23/2024 Jets L 5-2 Home -130
12/27/2024 Red Wings W 5-2 Away -135
12/28/2024 Capitals Home +103
12/31/2024 Islanders Home
1/2/2025 Islanders Away
1/4/2025 Bruins Home

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Washington vs. Toronto Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: NHL Network
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

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