How to Pick the Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – December 6

Published 12:39 pm Thursday, December 5, 2024

If you’re seeking best bets for the Toronto Maple Leafs’ upcoming contest against the Washington Capitals on Friday at 7:00 PM ET, then you’ve come to the right spot. Read on, as we offer our picks and predictions for this showdown.

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Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 6.5 (model projecting 6.3 goals)

  • Eight Toronto games this season have gone over Friday’s over/under of 6.5 goals.
  • So far this season, 14 games Washington has played finished with more than 6.5 goals.
  • The over/under for this game (6.5) is 0.7 less than the combined scoring averages for the Maple Leafs (3.08) and Capitals (4.08).
  • This game’s over/under is 1.1 more than the 5.4 goals these two teams concede per game combined.

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Moneyline Pick

Maple Leafs Moneyline: -156

  • The Maple Leafs have been victorious in 12 of their 19 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (63.2%).
  • Toronto is 7-4 (winning 63.6% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -156 or shorter.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Maple Leafs have an implied probability of 60.9% to win.

Capitals Moneyline: +130

  • In 16 games as the moneyline underdog, Washington has achieved the upset 11 times.
  • The Capitals have seven victories in games with moneyline odds of +130 or longer (in nine chances).
  • Washington’s moneyline gives it an implied probability of 43.5% to win this game.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Toronto 4, Washington 3

Maple Leafs Points Leaders

  • A productive offensive player this season for Toronto, Mitchell Marner has put up 36 points.
  • With 16 goals and 11 assists, William Nylander is one of the top contributors for Toronto with his 27 points (1.1 per game).
  • Toronto’s offensive effort is aided by John Tavares’ 27 points. He’s contributed 11 assists.
  • In the 14 games Anthony Stolarz has played this season, his save percentage is .924, the fifth-best in the league.

Capitals Points Leaders

  • Dylan Strome is a leading scorer for Washington, with 34 points this season. He has recorded eight goals and 26 assists in 25 games.
  • Alexander Ovechkin is crucial for Washington’s offense with 25 total points (1.4 per game), including 15 goals and 10 assists through 18 games.
  • Connor McMichael has scored 14 goals and contributed 10 assists for Washington, giving him a point total of 24.
  • Logan Thompson’s record stands at 10-1-2 on the season, allowing 33 goals (2.5 goals against average) and collecting 347 saves with a .913 save percentage (13th in the league).

Maple Leafs’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
11/30/2024 Lightning W 5-3 Away -140
12/2/2024 Blackhawks W 4-1 Home -431
12/4/2024 Predators W 3-2 Home -141
12/6/2024 Capitals Home -156
12/7/2024 Penguins Away
12/10/2024 Devils Away
12/12/2024 Ducks Home

Capitals’ Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
11/29/2024 Islanders W 5-4 Home -152
11/30/2024 Devils W 6-5 Away +137
12/3/2024 Sharks L 2-1 Home -294
12/6/2024 Maple Leafs Away +130
12/7/2024 Canadiens Away
12/12/2024 Blue Jackets Away
12/14/2024 Sabres Home

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Toronto vs. Washington Game Info

  • Date: Friday, December 6, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

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