Based on our computer model, the Washington Commanders will defeat the Cleveland Browns when they play at Commanders Field on Sunday, Oct. 6 (at 1:00 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.

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The Commanders sport the 25th-ranked defense this season (25.5 points allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective offensively, ranking third-best with 30.3 points per game. From an offensive perspective, the Browns are posting 16.5 points per contest (27th-ranked). They rank 15th in the NFL on the other side of the ball (21.8 points given up per game).

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Commanders vs. Browns Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Commanders a 61.5% chance to win.
• Washington has compiled a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season.
• In Washington’s four games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.
• Commanders games average 44.9 total points per game this season, 1.4 more than the over/under for this matchup.

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Browns Betting Info

• The Browns have a 42.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Cleveland has a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this season.
• The Browns have been an underdog by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• So far this season, just one Cleveland game has gone over the point total.
• Games involving the Browns this year have averaged 39.5 points per game, a four-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Commanders vs. Browns 2024 Scoring Insights

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