On Sunday, Sept. 15 at 1:00 p.m. ET, the Washington Commanders will face the New York Giants at Commanders Field. Our computer model projects a win for the Giants — see below for a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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Despite sporting a bottom-five scoring defense that ranked worst in the NFL last season (30.5 points allowed per game), the Commanders had more success on the other side of the ball, ranking 24th in the NFL by averaging 19.4 points per game. The Giants were a bottom-five offense last season, ranking fourth-worst with 280 yards per contest. On the defensive side of the ball, they ranked 27th in the NFL (361.7 yards allowed per game).

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Commanders vs. Giants Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• The Commanders have an implied moneyline win probability of 55.6% in this game.
• Washington compiled a 6-10-1 ATS record last year.
• The Commanders were favored by 1.5 points or more last season four times and failed to cover in all four.
• Washington and its opponent combined to go over the point total in 10 of 17 contests last season.
• The over/under for this game is 43.5 points, 0.5 more than the average point total for Commanders games a year ago.

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Giants Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Giants, based on the moneyline, is 48.8%.
• New York put together an 8-8-1 record against the spread last season.
• The Giants were 8-7-1 ATS last season when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
• Last season, six New York games went over the point total.
• The over/under for this game is 2.9 points higher than the average scoring total for Giants games last season (40.6).

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Commanders vs. Giants 2023 Scoring Insights

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