Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1

Published 4:37 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will meet the Washington Commanders at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8 at 4:25 p.m. ET. Our computer model projects the Buccaneers will earn a victory — see below for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Buccaneers ranked 23rd in total offense (313 yards per game) and 23rd in total defense (344.2 yards allowed per game) last year. The Commanders had the 24th-ranked scoring offense last season (19.4 points per game), and they were worse defensively, ranking worst with 30.5 points allowed per game.

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Buccaneers (-3.5) Over (42.5) Buccaneers 32, Commanders 13

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Commanders Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Commanders, based on the moneyline, is 39.2%.
  • Washington put together a 6-10-1 record against the spread last season.
  • The Commanders covered the spread three times last season (3-6-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
  • Last season, 10 Washington games hit the over.
  • The average total for Commanders games last season was 43 points, 0.5 more than this game’s over/under.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Buccaneers’ implied win probability is 65.5%.
  • Tampa Bay compiled an 11-6-0 record against the spread last season.
  • The Buccaneers covered the spread once last season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
  • Tampa Bay games hit the over six out of 17 times last season.
  • The over/under in this game is 42.5 points, 1.2 higher than the average total in Buccaneers games last season.

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Buccaneers 20.5 19.1 17.6 17.1 23 20.9
Commanders 19.4 30.5 16 34 22.3 27.3

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