A Hurricane Warning is in effect from north of the Savannah River to the North Carolina/Virginia line, including Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds. A Hurricane Watch is in effect from north of Ponte Vedra Beach FL to Savannah River. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from the Volusia/Brevard County FL line to Savannah River. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from the North Carolina/Virginia line to Chincoteague, Va. and for Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point southward.

Tropical storm conditions are currently affecting portions of the northeastern coast of Florida, and should begin along the Georgia coast later this morning. Tropical storm conditions will begin within the Hurricane Warning area in the Carolinas later today, with hurricane conditions by late tonight and Thursday.

Interests elsewhere along the Mid-Atlantic coast of the United States should continue to monitor the progress of Dorian, as additional watches or warnings may be required later today. Interests in southeastern New England should also monitor the progress of the hurricane.

Hurricane Dorian was centered as of 11 a.m. about 90 miles and about 205 miles south of Charleston, SC. Dorian is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph and this motion is expected to continue Wednesday. A turn toward the north is expected Wednesday night, followed by a turn toward the northeast on Thursday. On this track, the core of Hurricane Dorian will move parallel to the Florida east coast and the Georgia coast through Wednesday night. The center of Dorian is forecast to move near or over the coast of South Carolina and North Carolina Thursday through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph with higher gusts. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles. NOAA buoy 41008, located off the Georgia coast, recently reported sustained winds of 40 mph and a wind gust of 47 mph. A slow weakening is expected during the next few days. However, Dorian is expected to remain a powerful hurricane during this time.

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect from north of Port Canaveral, Fla. to the North Carolina/Virginia border, including Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds and the Neuse and Pamlico Rivers. A Storm Surge Watch is in effect from the North Carolina/Virginia line to Poquoson, Va., including Hampton Roads. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide:
Isle of Palms to Myrtle Beach SC…5 to 8 ft
Savannah River to Isle of Palms SC…4 to 7 ft
Myrtle Beach SC to Cape Lookout NC…4 to 7 ft
Cape Lookout NC to Duck NC, including Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds and the Neuse and Pamlico Rivers…4 to 6 ft
Volusia/Brevard County Line FL to Savannah River…3 to 5 ft
North of Port Canaveral FL to Volusia/Brevard County Line FL…2 to 4 ft
Duck NC to Poquoson VA, including Hampton Roads…2 to 4 ft

Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall totals through Friday:
Coastal Carolinas…5 to 10 inches, isolated 15 inches.

Atlantic Coast from Daytona Beach, Florida to the Georgia-South Carolina border…3 to 6 inches, with isolated 9 inches near the Georgia coast.
Southeast Virginia…3 to 6 inches.
This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods.

The next complete advisory will be issued by NHC at 5 p.m. with an intermediate advisory at 2 p.m. www.hurricanes.gov

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